Description

This dataset contains the result of the bioclimatic-envelope modeling of the three amphibian species -- the Sacramento Mountain Salamander (Aneides hardii), the Jemez Mountains Salamander (Plethodon neomexicanus), and the Chiricahua Leopard Frog (Lithobates chiricahuensis) -- in the South Central US using the downscaled data provided by WorldClim. We used five species distribution models (SDM) including Generalized Linear Model, Random Forest, Boosted Regression Tree, Maxent, and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and ensembles to develop the present day distributions of the species based on climate-driven models alone. We then projected future distributions of the species using data from four climate models: Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4), Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 2-Earth System (HadGEM2-ES), Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 5 (MIROC5), and Max Planck Institute Earth System Model, low resolution (MPI-ESM-LR). We ran the climate models according to two greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). Datasets in this file are the results for models RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 for the years 2050 and 2070. It shows a comparison of ensembles of suitable bioclimatic conditions between present day and future day. The dataset shows areas where ensembles agree and suitable conditions are stable (stable represented in green), future ensemble projects new suitable conditions (gain represented in yellow), present ensemble may be converted to unsuitable in the future (loss represented in red), and areas where conditions are unsuitable in the future (non represented in gray).

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Name	Format	Description	Link
	55	The metadata original source	https://data.doi.gov/harvest/object/ff435416-0cd8-4ad1-b2e5-be8668b21221
	0		http://dx.doi.org/10.5066/F7B27SGV

Projected future bioclimate-envelope suitability for amphibian species in South Central USA

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