Modeled time-trajectories of survival and time to recruitment for Eastern Bering Sea snow crab and southern Tanner crab, and Bristol Bay red king crab in the absence of density-dependence in survival from 2020-01-01 to 2100-12-31 for the OA Projections for Snow, Tanner, and Red King Crab in Alaska Project (NCEI Accession 0253125)

A stage-structured pre-recruitment model for three species in the Eastern Bering Sea (snow crab, Tanner and red king crab) is parameterized using data from experiments on the effects of ocean pH and temperature on larval and juvenile snow, Tanner and red king crab. The model is then used to project eggs from hatching until they reach the first size-class in the models on which stock assessments are based (post-recruitment model). The pre-recruitment model is projected to 2100 under future projected time-trajectories of ocean pH, surface temperature and bottom temperature for locations chosen to be representative of the three species. The results of the projections are the expected time to achieve the first size-class in the post-recruitment model and the probability of surviving to this size-class, expressed relative to the time and survival probability for a reference period of 2006-2020