Description

These long-term population projections by single year of age and gender have been developed by applying the component cohort survival model to assumptions about future trends in fertility, mortality and migration, under three different sets of assumptions (i.e. low, medium and high scenarios) at the Alberta level. Includes estimated (2001-2023) and projected (2024-2051) population of Alberta and its sub-regions, by single year of age and gender, as well as selected summary tables. PLEASE NOTE updated projections for 2025-2051 are now available. See the Related tab above for a link to the updated projections.

Resources

Name	Format	Description	Link
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - school authorities, public	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/00643c2f-5a96-411d-a048-1e9e7b8f45e0/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-ed-public.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - school authorities, separate	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/0fe9b37d-d15a-45c4-aa81-1471201d6e6d/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-ed-separate.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - aggregated local geographic areas (AGLAs)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/1c350497-1e84-4175-baa5-383e8157dcfd/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-alga.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - school authorities, francophone	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/37916231-da14-4fe5-8148-fb30b42e884e/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-ed-francophone.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - health subzones	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/4321e79e-8938-4920-a534-a7b4660ec345/download/alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-szone.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - Land Use Framework regions (LUF)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/56f6a614-0dac-4a5d-a5a1-88437ee6b79c/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-luf.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - all assumptions (low, medium and high)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/6c4c1c35-9b87-4c40-a645-631972220191/download/2024-2051-02-alberta-population_projections-all-scenarios.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - local geographic areas (LGAs)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/750e61dc-fae7-4666-9975-6cee94afdb6f/download/alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-lga.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - economic regions (ERs)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/902fc922-9432-4dec-9965-eb360afaaea4/download/alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-er.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - health status areas (HSAs)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/a2ecc3d0-039b-41a5-8ec3-2e9de1f88e9e/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-hsa.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - health zones	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/b9d4cf00-a4d7-4743-b49f-3bdb2a498dd7/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-health-zone.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - health peer groups	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/c55f0806-a11f-4302-ac34-3b7f906d35e9/download/alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-health-peer.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - census metropolitan areas (CMAs)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/ce52242a-77f4-42ff-8b1e-a0d11427382a/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-cma.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - Community and Social Services regions (CSS)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/d50765fc-5102-4b91-8633-7350475e50f7/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-css2.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - census divisions (CDs)	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/e80f93e4-2c14-4e32-ace4-64d524a8be44/download/tbf-alberta-population-projections-2024-2051-cd.xlsx
Alberta population projections 2024-2051 - summary - medium growth assumption	xlsx		https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d/resource/eaa76bc1-f413-4ab3-a8a1-f7f7436d1aca/download/2024-2051-01-alberta-population-projections-summary.xlsx
Original metadata (https://open.alberta.ca/opendata)	HTML		https://open.alberta.ca/opendata/d53074fd-0b73-4da7-b074-ebb795ea507d

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