FVA spreading under climate change
Description
With the help of species distribution models, large-scale possible changes in the occurrence of the main tree species spruce, beech, oak and fir were estimated. For this purpose, correlations between the present occurrence of these species within Europe (Level 1 dataset) (Hanewinkel et al., 2010) and bioclimatic variables were determined. Using values of these bioclimatic variables, the future probability of occurrence of a species was estimated for the climate future scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 and the periods 2041-2061 and 2061-2080 (Hijmans et al., 2005).
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Tags
- klima
- klimawandel
- artverbreitung
- forstwirtschaft