Description
IMPORTANT NOTE: These projections have been superceded, please see https://data.london.gov.uk/demography/ for the latest GLA projections. Four variants of local authority level population projections and one ward-level projection are currenty available: Borough Trend-based projections using a long-term migration scenario. These projections are recommended for longer-term strategic planning purposes. Trend-based projections using a short-term migration scenario. Housing-linked projections incorporating data from the 2013 Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA) using the Capped Household Size projection model Housing-linked projections incorporating data from the 2013 SHLAA using the DCLG-linked projection model Ward Ward-level projections consistent with the SHLAA Capped Household Size model. Other projections Household projections consistent with these projections are available here . Custom-Age Tool The GLA custom-age population tool allows users to interogate the borough, ward and ethnic group population projections. The custom age tool can be found here . Notes A note outlining the key differences between the various projection methodologies can be found here . REVISION: 21 October 2016. The long term trend and short term trend projections were revised following minor methodological changes to the calculation of births within the trend model.
Resources
| Name | Format | Description | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Landing page | HTML | Open resource | |
| ward_shlaa_capped_ahs_2015 | XLS | Open resource | |
| 2015 trend projection results - tables and figures | XLS | Open resource | |
| GLA trend projection methodology | Open resource | ||
| GLA trend projection methodology - Tables and Figures | XLS | Open resource | |
| 2015 trend projection results | Open resource | ||
| borough_SHLAA_capped_AHS_2015rnd | XLS | Open resource | |
| borough_SHLAA_DCLG_2015rnd | XLS | Open resource | |
| borough_trend_long_term_components | ZIP | Open resource | |
| borough_trend_long_term_2015 | XLS | Open resource | |
| borough_trend_short_term_2015 | XLS | Open resource | |
| borough_trend_short_term_components | ZIP | Open resource |