Description

Seasonal and annual multi-model ensembles of projected change (also known as anomalies) in mean temperature (°C) based on an ensemble of twenty-nine Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models are available for 1901-2100. Projected change in mean temperature (°C) is with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005. The 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th percentiles of the ensembles of projected change in mean temperature change are available for the historical time period, 1901-2005, and for emission scenarios, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for 2006-2100. Twenty-year average changes in mean temperature (°C) for four time periods (2021-2040; 2041-2060; 2061-2080; 2081-2100), with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are also available in a range of formats. The median projected change across the ensemble of CMIP5 climate models is provided. Note: Projections among climate models can vary because of differences in their underlying representation of earth system processes. Thus, the use of a multi-model ensemble approach has been demonstrated in recent scientific literature to likely provide better projected climate change information.

Resources

Name	Format	Description	Link
Climate Data Extraction Tool	HTML		https://climate-change.canada.ca/climate-data/#/cmip5-data
Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios EN	NetCDF		https://climate-scenarios.canada.ca/index.php?page=main
Climate Data Viewer	HTML		https://climate-viewer.canada.ca/climate-maps.html
View ECCC Data Mart (English)	HTML		https://data-donnees.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-temperature-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles/
Data Collection Methodology	PDF		https://data-donnees.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-temperature-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles/CMIP5_-_READ_ME_Technical_Doc_EN.pdf
Data Collection Methodology	PDF		https://data-donnees.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-temperature-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles/CMIP5_-_READ_ME_Technical_Doc_FR.pdf
View ECCC Data Mart (French)	HTML		https://data-donnees.ec.gc.ca/data/climate/scientificknowledge/projected-temperature-change-based-on-cmip5-multi-model-ensembles/?lang=fr
View Data Mart	HTML		https://dd.meteo.gc.ca/climate/cmip5
View Data Mart	HTML		https://dd.weather.gc.ca/climate/cmip5
GeoMet WCS (FR)	WCS		https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?lang=fr&service=WCS&version=2.0.1&request=GetCapabilities
GeoMet WMS (FR)	WMS		https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?lang=fr&service=WMS&version=1.3.0&request=GetCapabilities
GeoMet WCS (EN)	WCS		https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?service=WCS&version=2.0.1&request=GetCapabilities
GeoMet WMS (EN)	WMS		https://geo.weather.gc.ca/geomet-climate?service=WMS&version=1.3.0&request=GetCapabilities
Canadian Climate Data and Scenarios FR	NetCDF		https://scenarios-climatiques.canada.ca/index.php?page=main
Climate Data Viewer	HTML		https://visualiseur-climatique.canada.ca/cartes-climatiques.html

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